Somehow, it’s already Week 10! The trade deadline’s in the rearview, contenders are separating from pretenders, and every snap suddenly matters.
This is where good teams get sharper, bad bets get exposed, and value hides in plain sight. The lines are tight, the margins thinner, and if you’re not adjusting, unfortunately, you’re already behind.
Here’s how we’re attacking the slate before everyone else catches up. Are you with us?
Here are some of the NFL betting promos available this week:
FanDuel's running their standard profit boosts on primetime games, with an option of boosts from you to choose from. DraftKings usually has their stepped-up same-game parlays this week. And don't forget to check Caesars and Fanatics for their second-chance offers.
First off all, if you’re planning to watch Browns-Jets, may I recommend you seek help.
This one should be ugly, but give me Judkins over rushing yards. Prior to their bye last week, Judkins left their game with a shoulder injury but appears on track to play at MetLife. The Jets defense isn’t any good, ranking 23rd in defensive rush efficiency.
And those numbers were with their stud defensive tackle Quinnen Williams who they just traded to the Dallas Cowboys. The Jets have allowed 5.2 YPC to RBs without Quinnen Williams on the field this year, so yeah I’ll take my shot with this over.
Jared Goff and Dan Campbell are 21-8 ATS following a loss. The Carolina Panthers haven’t won or covered as a favorite since September 2001, 0-10 in that span.
The New Orleans Saints held the ball for just 16:07 in their loss against the Rams last, which was the lowest time of possession by any team since the 2011 Cardinals with John Skelton. The total has gone over in 7 of 8 Vikings games this season.
Quick reminder: these aren’t predictions, just patterns and numbers that caught my eye this week. Please don't just blindly follow.
This is just a brutal spot for the Raiders to go on the road to Mile High on short rest after a OT loss. This Raiders defense was on the field for 77 plays on Sunday and has got to be feeling a bit with little time to recover.
It doesn’t help that the Raiders will also be going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL with a very banged up and porous OL. I know 9.5 points is a lot to lay in a divisional game, but I will take Denver here.
I will take the Arizona Cardinals getting 6.5 points in Seattle. The Cardinals offense is completely different with Jacoby Brissett at the helm, averaging about 26 points per game. Yes, this Cardinals team is 3-5, but all five losses have been by one score AND three of those five losses have been off walk-off field goals, including their loss against Seattle in Week 4 on TNF.
Before their Monday night game against Dallas, Arizona was pretty ravaged by injuries on defense but welcomed their first round pick Walter Nolen and CB Garrett Williams back. Both highlighted exactly what they were missing.
While I don’t know if the Cardinals can win this game, I will take my chances on this divisional matchup staying within 6.
Week 10 is about momentum management and market timing. With the postseason picture taking shape and key players coming back (or dropping off), the betting lines are shifting faster than ever.
Getting a sharp number and locking in early in the week isn’t just smart it could be the difference between ending the week ahead or chasing losses.
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