We’re halfway through the month of November and somehow, it’s already Week 11! So what's coming up in the next week?
Well, we’ve got 14 hours of football this upcoming Sunday starting with the first ever NFL game in Spain at 9:30am ET.
Here’s how we’re attacking the slate before everyone else catches up. Are you with us?
NFL betting promos are looking fire this week!
FanDuel's running their standard profit boosts on primetime games, with an option of boosts from you to choose from. DraftKings usually has their stepped-up same-game parlays this week.
And don't forget to check Caesars and Fanatics for their second-chance offers.
The Jets are 13-point dogs and will be without their best playmaker in Garrett Wilson.
The Jets should be playing from behind all night and that means they’re going to have to throw the ball. Despite the fact their QB is incapable of completing a forward pass (just ask the owner) he’s going to have to try.
The Pats have been vulnerable to RBs beating them in the air all year and Breece should have plenty of chances to get past this number. I expect a lot of volume to go his way, so will take our chances here.
Since 2000, this is the 14th time the Patriots have been heavy favorites against the Jets. Back in the 2010 playoffs, the Jets pulled off a rare upset in Foxborough, but New England has dominated at home ever since, going 13-1, with the lone loss coming in Bill Belichick’s final game as head coach.
The last Jets quarterback to win a primetime road game was Sam Darnold in his first NFL start.
Brian Daboll is the 24th head coach in the past decade to be fired mid-season. Those previous 23 teams went 11–12 against the spread in their first game after the firing.
The Packers have three losses this season and haven’t allowed more than 16 points in any of them. Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are 13–4 against the spread after a loss.
The 49ers have alternated wins and losses for eight straight weeks. Teams that played the Jets the week before are 0–8 against the spread the following week.
As always, please remember that the above are purely talking points, not betting guidance.
We’re going to start our Sunday early and roll with the Dolphins against the Commies in Spain. Both defenses are pretty bad, but the Commies are worse. They’re completely decimated by injuries, aging, and have lost five straight. They’re allowing an average of almost 36 points per game during that stretch. It’s so bad that head coach Dan Quinn has taken over play calling duties on the defensive side of the ball.
Also, the Dolphins while not great this season have looked much better as of late on defense. In their last five games they rank 9th in defensive success rate. I just think Mike McDaniel will be able to have his way with this horrific Commies defense. It’s a slow defense and will be interesting to see how they handle the speed of Waddle and Achane.
I know they’re on the road, but Seattle +3.5 is absolutely live. And here’s why...These are, in my opinion, the two best teams in the NFC but I’ll still grab the points with Seattle.
Sam Darnold gets a shot at some mild revenge against the team that made him “see ghosts” last postseason, and the matchup edges quietly tilt Seattle’s way if they lean into their strengths. The Seahawks rank 1st in EPA/dropback but 27th in EPA/rush, yet they remain run-heavy on early downs.
This is an elite play-action offense, and even though the Rams boast a top-three defense, this is where they’re at least somewhat beatable: Seattle is No. 1 in EPA/play off play-action, while L.A. sits 14th in EPA/play allowed against it.
Then there’s the road dominance. Under Mike Macdonald, Seattle is an absurd 11–1 straight up and 8–3 ATS away from home.
In a game I expect to be decided by a field goal either way, I’m happily taking +3.5.
Week 11 is all about staying nimble and playing the information game. With key injuries and breaking news driving line shifts, grabbing the best odds early (and across books) is more important than ever.
Here’s how to bet like a pro in Week 11:
This week demands discipline and smart timing. The sharp money may have jumped early, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t mispricings left. Let others overreact, stay focused on value, and use the market’s chaos to your advantage.
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